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August 2018 Archive

The Day Ahead, Tuesday August 14th

Posted on Aug 14, 2018 | 6:52 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Investor focus is likely to remain on emerging markets and the Turkey currency crisis on Tuesday while NFIB Small Business Optimism for July was just released, and registered a new…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Update to our four favorite tactical indicators

Posted on Aug 13, 2018 | 11:40 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

While the S&P 500 Index (SPX) remains in the context of a long-term uptrend, there are four key tactical market gauges we focus on that typically identify the close proximity…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Still expect more near-term volatility

Posted on Aug 13, 2018 | 10:41 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Thus far, the market is holding in there despite a worsening of the Turkish Currency crisis.  We find it hard to believe there won’t be a bit more volatility given…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Some perspective on the Turkey situation

Posted on Aug 13, 2018 | 10:34 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

Highlights Turkey roared into the headlines last week The situation is likely not going to be as impactful as the Greece panic

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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European bank CDS showing no contagion

Posted on Aug 13, 2018 | 9:45 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

We have no expertise in Turkish economics or politics, but do have an idea of what to look for if the Turkish currency crisis has a contagion effect similar to…

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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The Economic Week Ahead, August 13th

Posted on Aug 13, 2018 | 7:26 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks, Market Musings & Economic Commentary

While the week is loaded with economic data releases, all focus on Monday will be on the Turkish currency crisis. With Turkey currently locked in a standoff with the United…

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks, Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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The Nasdaq is having the best start to August in 5 years

Posted on Aug 10, 2018 | 2:47 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Despite today’s sell off in the equity indices, the dog days of summer hasn’t been bad for the Nasdaq Composite Index (CCMP), so far.

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Doesn’t yet look like 2015

Posted on Aug 10, 2018 | 11:51 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Lot of talk in the market about the decline in the Turkish Lire and how that could be similar to the middle of 2015, when emerging currencies were under pressure. …

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Consumer prices pretty much in line with estimates, again

Posted on Aug 10, 2018 | 9:51 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

The month-over month data for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) released this morning from the Bureau of Labor Statistics matched estimates.

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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August Macro Slide Deck

Posted on Aug 10, 2018 | 9:03 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

Focus remains on year-end ramp driven by EPS. With volatility back to the low, the S&P 500 (SPX) in close proximity to record highs, and choppy grind higher, there is…

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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