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October 2018 Archive

Late day bottoming process reminder

Posted on Oct 31, 2018 | 4:49 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The market has seen a significant oversold bounce from the Tuesday afternoon low, and we expect further volatility ahead of the mid-term election and employment number.  This is going to…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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% Bulls drop to the lowest level in 5-months

Posted on Oct 31, 2018 | 11:46 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The recent excessive bullishness in sentiment continues to bleed out of the market. After hitting 61.8% in early October, the latest report from Investors Intelligence showed bullish newsletter writer sentiment…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Summary of notes during corrective period

Posted on Oct 31, 2018 | 10:58 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

In case you are new to DwyerStrategy, and want to see what we have been discussing while the market was seeing a significant pick up in volatility over the past…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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227k jobs added in October, according to ADP

Posted on Oct 31, 2018 | 8:50 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

The ADP employment report for the month of October was once again better than expected. ADP reported that companies added 227k workers in October, above the 218k added in September…

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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The Day Ahead, Wednesday October 31st

Posted on Oct 31, 2018 | 7:41 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Following a day that saw U.S. equities rise sharply, Wednesday features a quieter day of economic data ahead of a busy end of the week.  It also features a quieter…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Tuesday afternoon brain cramp

Posted on Oct 30, 2018 | 3:08 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Literally, everyone that typically calls me to ask about the market has done so now.  It is universal, I cannot think of anyone that normally reaches out to me when…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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October market decline not hurting Consumer Confidence

Posted on Oct 30, 2018 | 10:47 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

Despite the fact that the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is on track for the worst monthly performance since February 2009, the U.S. consumer remains very confident.

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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Bottoming process playbook musing

Posted on Oct 30, 2018 | 9:49 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Yesterday, we highlighted in oversold playbook in bottoming process  we noted that a few key tactical indicators are oversold, but can get more oversold.  That certainly took place yesterday.  We…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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The Day Ahead, Tuesday October 30th

Posted on Oct 30, 2018 | 8:01 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tuesday features a busy day of earnings releases as well as the release of the Consumer Confidence Index, which is not expected to be heavily impacted despite the stock market…

Market Musings & Economic Commentary
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Looking at some similarities and differences to prior episodes

Posted on Oct 29, 2018 | 2:33 pm in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks

Highlights • This month’s stock price drop is similar to others in this bull market • This stock price drop is not similar to the start of the 2007-2009 financial…

Macro Analysis & Slide Decks
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    Tuesday February 7th 1:00 pm ET Gold Level Conference Call
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