April Macro Slide Deck
We again want to clarify why the Yield Curve (YC) is a recession indicator, and which we should use.
Read MoreWe again want to clarify why the Yield Curve (YC) is a recession indicator, and which we should use.
Read MoreIn this short video we discuss how economic data is revised and our current tactical game plan...
Read More“In this short video we discuss: Why investors care about the U.S. Treasury Yield Curves, How they impact our core thesis, Differences in various Yield Curves and what…
Read MoreThe S&P 500 (SPX) continued its rebound last week despite an even more aggressive sounding Fed, the lowest University of Michigan Consumer Confidence reading since 2011, and a closely…
Read MoreIn this short video we discuss transitioning our focus from tumultuous first half to the intermediate-term opportunity...
Read MoreAlthough we expect the tumultuous market behavior to continue as investors grapple with the highest inflation in a generation and a ground war in Europe, the combination of our…
Read MoreWe have long stated that we expect the first half of the year to be tumultuous as investors adjust to higher-than-expected inflation and the resulting change in monetary policy,…
Read MoreIn this short video we discuss how rare today’s opening gap higher in the S&P 500 (SPX) is outside of 2020, and what it might mean for the rest…
Read MoreWe entered this year expecting tumultuous conditions given the transition of monetary policy, drivers of growth, and geopolitical issues.
Read MoreIn this short video, we look at a couple charts that suggest when a true intermediate-term extreme may be at hand.
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