Brief thought on decline
We are in process of recording a video with our views on the “fall fall”. Suffice it to say we are staying with the data which suggests it would…
Read MoreHow we may identify Fed pivot and “the” bottom
On Wednesday, the FOMC raised the Fed Funds rate by 75 basis points to 3.00-3.25% due to modest economic growth, robust job gains, the low Unemployment Rate, and elevated…
Read MoreThe fundamental narrative is likely to change
As the summer rally unfolded, it seemed investors were hopeful there could be a “soft landing” despite a historic rise in rates, into a generationally levered system, with spiking…
Read MoreVideo – Strategy as “fall fall” progresses
In this short video we outline what could cause an actual Fed pivot and how that could transition the “fall fall” into a possible year-end ramp.
Read MoreVideo – A bad day but not yet a whoosh
In this short video we put yesterday’s rout into perspective relative to our tactical game plan…
Read MoreVideo – It still is all about the Fed
In this short video we highlight what would get us and the market more sustainably positive. Throughout this year we have used our key tactical indicators to suggest short-term…
Read MoreIt is a heck of a fight
Coming into last week, we cautioned against feeding into the extreme whoosh as the market dropped nearly 10% in a straight line.
Read MoreSeptember Macro Slide Deck
In the midst of “fall fall.” As the summer rally unfolded, we stuck with our call for a test of the June low because every major bear market bottom…
Read MoreVideo – Assessing our key indicators given sharp pullback
Our most sensitive tactical indicators are pointing to stabilization - even if it is temporary:
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