Big miss on the JOLTS data
The monthly JOLTS report (Job Openings and Labor Turnovers Survey) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) saw a big decline in February.
Read MoreMacro Analysis & Slide Decks
Tony is best known for the practical application of macro data. He will use his 30 years of experience to evaluate what data matters and how you can apply it to your investment process.
Small business confidence improves slightly but below expectations
The National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB) released their small business optimism index earlier this morning and it showed business confidence improved fractionally last month.
Read MoreApril Macro Slide Deck- the “bullish but…” market
History shows initial inversion a better buy signal. Although the U.S. Treasury 2-10yr Yield Curve (YC) has yet to invert, over the past seven economic cycles, the median…
Read MoreThe Week Ahead, Week of April 8
This week features several big economic releases, including CPI and PPI as well as University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
Read MoreAddressing “bullish but…” market
The number one question we are getting is: “Is everyone getting too bullish?” The simple answer is no. We have been on the road for the better part…
Read MoreAnother weak ADP employment report
ADP reported that private payrolls at U.S. companies increased by 129k in March, below estimates which were expecting a much larger increase of 175k.
Read MoreAnother look at seasonality and key credit stress indicator
In the March Macro Slide Deck, we led off with the widely followed Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast chart that highlighted a consistently weak (and wrong) tendency in the…
Read MoreBetter manufacturing data
The monthly report from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) out this morning, showed manufacturing picked up in March.
Read MoreEconomic week ahead – 04/01/19
After a close to the strongest quarter in the stock market in nearly a decade, the second quarter will kick off with a big economic week in terms of…
Read MoreWeaker inflation and spending data
Data on Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) for January, rose 1.4% y/y, matching estimates, but down from a revised 1.8% in December.
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