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Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tony will use his 30+ years of market experience to guide you throughout the trading day.

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Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tony will use his 30+ years of market experience to guide you throughout the trading day.

Newsletter writer “Bulls” and “Bears” increase last week

Posted on Apr 18, 2018 | 10:43 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The latest Investors Intelligence report shows newsletter writers were a bit more bullish last week.

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New high in S&P 500 Adv/Decl line

Posted on Apr 18, 2018 | 9:48 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Yesterday saw a new record high in the S&P 500 (SPX) Cumulative Advance/Decline line (Figure 1).  Here is a great example of why we must view data points within the…

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Strong breadth should push advance-decline line to new high

Posted on Apr 17, 2018 | 2:30 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

There is strong market breadth today as a majority of S&P 500 constituents are trading higher.

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How does one know when fear is getting discounted?

Posted on Apr 11, 2018 | 11:13 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

How do you know when fear might be discounted? President has personal lawyer raided, Paul Ryan retires, a missile gets shot down and blasts are heard in Saudi Arabia, Zuck…

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Bulls retreat

Posted on Apr 11, 2018 | 8:57 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The latest Investors Intelligence report shows the drop in bullishness is starting to pick up steam.

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Breadth follow-up

Posted on Apr 10, 2018 | 4:50 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Breadth remained strong into the close. On the NYSE volume in advancing stocks outpaced volume in declining stocks by a ratio of 6.67 to 1. This is the highest closing…

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Facebook effect

Posted on Apr 10, 2018 | 2:35 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

It is amazing how quiet the trading room got when the hearing started.  Literally as quiet as I have ever heard, and is a sign the volume should shut off…

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Better breadth today

Posted on Apr 10, 2018 | 2:03 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Breadth has remained notably stronger today then it did yesterday. As of 2pm today, the NYSE advance/decline ratio is 3.7 to 1. The volume breadth ratio is even more “minty…

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It will be an uphill battle that can be done

Posted on Apr 10, 2018 | 1:40 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The rest of this cycle going to be a more aggressive uphill battle given increased economic volatility and monetary uncertainty. It reminds me of @rootstockracing adventure race in PA…

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Another data point suggesting next leg higher

Posted on Apr 10, 2018 | 8:03 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

As of last Friday, 8 of prior 11 sessions saw NYSE "up" volume at an extreme of >80% or <20% of total volume. According to my "stats dude" @sentimentrader, since…

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