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Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tony will use his 30+ years of market experience to guide you throughout the trading day.

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Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tony will use his 30+ years of market experience to guide you throughout the trading day.

Early week market update

Posted on Jan 14, 2019 | 10:07 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

We are currently in tactical and fundamental no-man’s land. Tactical backdrop: Market reached intermediate-term oversold enough in non-recession crash to suggest the 12/24 low should be “the” low History…

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Small and mid-cap stocks taking an early lead in 2019

Posted on Jan 11, 2019 | 2:29 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

After poor performance in 2018, small and mid-cap stocks have been outperforming larger-cap stocks so far in the first two weeks of January.

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The Day Ahead, Friday January 11th

Posted on Jan 11, 2019 | 7:38 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

With the S&P up over 2% so far this week, we have begun to see our reflex rally play out as the market is now up over 10% since bottoming…

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Fed Chair reinforces “patience”

Posted on Jan 10, 2019 | 2:25 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Today, in an interview at the Economic Club of Washington, the Federal Reserve Chair Powell said the Fed would be “patient” in how they want to raise rates going forward. …

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Fed Chair reinforces “patience”

Posted on Jan 10, 2019 | 2:25 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Today, in an interview at the Economic Club of Washington, the Federal Reserve Chair Powell said the Fed would be “patient” in how they want to raise rates going forward. …

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MACD signal reinforces retest

Posted on Jan 9, 2019 | 11:57 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The current 9.7% reflex rally in the S&P 500 (SPX) off the December crash low may be setting the stage for a retest as highlighted in our January Picture Book…

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Modest increase in bullish sentiment

Posted on Jan 9, 2019 | 11:09 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Last week we saw the percent of bearish newsletter writers rise above bullish newsletter writers for the first time in almost three years. The report out today from Investors Intelligence…

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% above 10-day moving average points to pullback

Posted on Jan 8, 2019 | 10:45 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The recent ramp in the S&P 500 Index (SPX), has pushed the index up a healthy 9.5%, off the intraday low in December. Most of the underlying components of the…

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What should the current post-crash reflex rally look like?

Posted on Jan 8, 2019 | 9:10 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Yesterday, we highlighted the 2019 Tactical Playbook, that includes a Reflex rally, then retest of the 12/2018 low, followed by new highs.  The equity market decline since the September peak…

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How much should reflex rally be?

Posted on Jan 7, 2019 | 1:09 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The prior 3 non-recession market crashes of 20% in under 4 months since 1950 saw the following: 1987: +18,8% in 13 days 1998: +13.4% in 15 days 2011: +11.6% in…

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