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Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tony will use his 30+ years of market experience to guide you throughout the trading day.

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Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Tony will use his 30+ years of market experience to guide you throughout the trading day.

Reviewing what yield curve inversion means to the market

Posted on Dec 4, 2018 | 9:36 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The sharp flattening of the 2-10yr U.S. Treasury Yield Curve to 15 basis points, and the inversion of the 3-5yr YC brought a possible inversion back into the spotlight.  This…

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Two good news items in ISM Manufacturing survey

Posted on Dec 3, 2018 | 11:29 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks, Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Today’s November Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index surprised to the upside by rising from 57.7 to 59.3 vs. the prior month (Figure 1).  According to Bloomberg, consensus expectations…

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The economic week ahead, December 2nd

Posted on Dec 3, 2018 | 7:09 am in Macro Analysis & Slide Decks, Market Musings & Economic Commentary

This week features a slew of major economic data releases as we head towards the December FOMC meeting. We maintain our stance that softer economic data will be reacted to…

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Best week for Consumer Discretionary in 7-years

Posted on Nov 30, 2018 | 3:22 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The sharp rebound in equities has pushed every S&P sector higher for the week. Consumer discretionary stocks are doing especially well, the sector is up 6.2% for the week and…

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The Day Ahead, Thursday November 29th

Posted on Nov 29, 2018 | 7:49 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Wednesday saw the markets surge after Jerome Powell softened his stance at a noon-time speech in New York City. His comments were interpreted as more dovish, citing that the economy…

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Further deterioration in bullish sentiment

Posted on Nov 28, 2018 | 11:36 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

As we suggested last week, today’s report from Investors Intelligence showed bullish sentiment continued to decline in the latest poll.

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The Day Ahead, Wednesday November 28th

Posted on Nov 28, 2018 | 8:23 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

The markets closed higher for a second consecutive day to start the week on Tuesday, and Wednesday features a pair of significant data releases as well as a speech from…

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The Day Ahead, Tuesday November 27th

Posted on Nov 27, 2018 | 8:30 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

Following a Monday that saw the markets sharply higher, Tuesday features the first major economic data release of the week along with two minor housing data releases. As we stated…

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A good recap of our view

Posted on Nov 26, 2018 | 1:26 pm in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

I thought this was an excellent write-up and video of our current view.  I will be traveling for the bulk of this week, but will have a new macro post…

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Driver of early strength Italian optimism

Posted on Nov 26, 2018 | 7:24 am in Market Musings & Economic Commentary

It looks like the market is starting off the week on a very strong note with a 1% gain in the S&P 500 Futures.  The reason being given in the…

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