Environment ripe for bounce
In mid-September, we believed the market was ripe for volatility due to an extreme overbought condition, excessive bullishness, and historically low volatility. In early October, it became even more evident…
Read MoreMacro
Tony is best known for the practical application of macro data. He will use his 30 years of experience to evaluate what data matters and how you can apply it to your investment process.
The bottom process usually feels awful
Over the past 60 years and through seven economic cycles, we have found that only a shutdown of credit availability has the power to generate a recession, which only takes…
Read MoreCredit flows indicate a lessening chance of a financial disaster across multiple time frames
Highlights Credit flows indicate a lessening chance of a financial disaster in the present-term, near-term, intermediate-term, and multi-year time frames The near-term picture for stocks comes down to a…
Read MoreWhoosh replay – key indicators mostly there
Corrections don’t feel “natural, normal and healthy” when you are in them. Last Thursday, we noted that out four key tactical indicators were approaching an oversold level that would begin…
Read MoreReplay of today’s Dwyer Strategy conference call
A replay of today’s conference call is now available for Gold level subscribers.
Read MoreOctober Macro Slide Deck
Fundamental update – A lot of factors that are identifiable prior to a credit-led recession are just not present. The recent rise in the US Treasury 10-year bond yield above 3.23%…
Read MoreDwyer Strategy conference call
Join us for our Macro Strategy conference call tomorrow, Friday, October 12th at 11:00 AM EDT for Gold level subscribers. We will be focusing on our fundamental core thesis and…
Read MoreTactical indicators turning positive
Deja vu from February. This has been a market environment that was ripe for volatility, and we finally got it. While Fed Chair Powell’s recent hawkish tone and trade fear…
Read MoreToo early to say correction is over
A positive fundamental backdrop can be interrupted with the temporary periods of corrections, and we are partially through one now. We have been expecting further near-term volatility until our four…
Read MoreYesterday was a significant day for the credit boom
Highlights The credit boom intensified again yesterday despite a plethora of macro worries The fourth-largest corporate bond deal ever received a staggering amount of bids Other issuers termed out…
Read More
