Video – Our take on a wild week
In this short video we talk about the volatile market action, the confusion in the economic data, and our gameplan given both.
Read MoreMore color on jobs report
My friend and Chief Economist at FHN Financial has an excellent write-up on today’s monthly Jobs report. Frankly, given the amount of revisions in these readings, I don’t give…
Read MoreUsing a slow cooker in a microwave market
Both sides of the bull and bear argument were reinforced yesterday.
Read MoreTactical update as tug of war rages on
Last week was a good one for equities, with all four benchmark indices higher.
Read MoreVideo – Updating M2, Real Liquidity, and our game plan
In this short video we address the opposing voices in the market. The recent economic and money based indicators reinforce the recession view, while the momentum in the market…
Read MoreThe voices are getting louder
Have you ever heard two people having a conversation where they were just trying to talk over each other, and in doing so thought if they yelled louder their…
Read MoreVideo – Our plan for if/when bad news becomes bad news.
In this short video we discuss our market gameplan for if/when the market transitions from “bad news is good news” to “bad news is bad news.” We are more…
Read MoreWhat signaling should we believe
The guys lending the money (Bank CEOs) say we are going into recession, the guys printing the money (Jerome Powell) are willing to accept a recession to break inflation,…
Read MoreVideo – Inflation view and how we identify recession
In this short video we highlight why we believe inflation isn’t the issue for 2023, and what to look for in identifying when a recession begins…
Read MoreJanuary Macro Slide Deck
The sharp rise in risk assets and drop in U.S. Treasury yields following the Payroll Employment Report and surprise contraction in the ISM Services Index on Friday suggest investors…
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